Paul George and the Pacers shocked the Raptors with a 10-point victory on the road in Game 1. Toronto looks to even the series Monday night, but simulation data once again suggests a competitive contest. 

While Vegas odds have Toronto listed as 7.5-point favorites, AccuScore simulation data has them as just 4-point favorites. As such, Indiana covers a 7.5-point spread in about 62 percent of simulations. 

The Raptors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 7.0 or more. (Supports AccuScore sim data)

The total has gone OVER in eight of the Pacers’ last 10 games with a closing total of 193.0 or less. (Goes against AccuScore sim data)

MORE: NBA live scoreboard

The Raptors are 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games after an ATS loss. (Goes against AccuScore sim data)

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