The Patriots are 3-point favorites to beat the Peyton Manning-less Broncos in Denver on Sunday night (8:30 p.m. ET, NBC) with a total of 43. Visit our odds page for updated NFL lines.
Fantasy Alarm predicts Osweiler will have a subdued game, tossing for 1.0 TDs and 0.9 INTs. Combined, the stat line is well south of the 2.5 over-under ’touchdown passes + interceptions’ prop offered at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.
The fantasy site also predicts the Broncos will hold QB Tom Brady’s top target Gronkowski to just 62.9 yards, roughly 17 less than the SuperBook’s listing of 80.5
Check out our betting preview on the game, complete with an against-the-spread pick and play on the total.
Here’s a look at the SuperBook’s props offerings and Fantasy Alarm projections where relevant:
PATRIOTS AT BRONCOS PROPS AND ODDS
FIRST SCORE OF THE GAME WILL BE: TOUCHDOWN -160 ANY OTHER SCORE +140
TOTAL COMPLETIONS BY: TOM BRADY (NE) OVER 25.5 -110 UNDER 25.5 -110 Fantasy Alarm projection: 25.4
TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: TOM BRADY (NE) OVER 2.0 +110 UNDER 2.0 -130 Fantasy Alarm projection: 2.0 TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: ROB GRONKOWSKI (NE) OVER 80.5 -110 UNDER 80.5 -110 Fantasy Alarm projection: 62.9
WILL ROB GRONKOWSKI (NE) SCORE A TOUCHDOWN? YES -120 NO EVEN Fantasy Alarm projection: 0.6
TOTAL COMPLETIONS BY: BRONCOS OVER 21.0 -110 UNDER 21.0 -110 Fantasy Alarm projection: 22.3
TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES+INTERCEPTIONS BY: BRONCOS OVER 2.5 +120 UNDER 2.5 -140 Fantasy Alarm projection: 2.0 (1.1 TDs, 0.9 INT) TOTAL QB SACKS BY: BOTH TEAMS OVER 5.0 -135 UNDER 5.0 +115
TOTAL POINTS BY: PATRIOTS OVER 24.0 EVEN UNDER 24.0 -120
TOTAL POINTS BY: BRONCOS OVER 20.5 -110 UNDER 20.5 -110
**PLAYERS MUST PLAY FOR ACTION; NO PARLAYS
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